Over
the past 30 years, there has been a steady downward trend
in the number of casualties (deaths plus injuries) from
grade-crossing accidents at public crossings. The improvement
in safety has been significant, even though it has been
often overstated – overstated in the sense that statistics
almost always refer to the decline in the absolute number
of accidents, deaths and injuries, rather than relating
those decreases to the huge drop in the number of railroad
crossings. After all, more than 25,000 public crossings
have been eliminated since 1975. Thus, the more appropriate
measurement is grade-crossing casualties-per-railroad-grade-crossing.
Since this paper focuses on public crossings, the measurement
employed is casualties- (at public crossings) per-public-crossing.
Shown below in five-year increments, are the annual number
of public grade crossings since 1975, the number of casualties
at those crossings, and the number of casualties-per-crossing.
Three observations come to mind:
Year |
Number
of
Crossings |
Number
of
Casualties |
Number
of
Casualties
Per Crossing |
1975 |
219,161 |
4,624 |
.0210 |
1980 |
215,428 |
4,450 |
.0206 |
1985 |
197,383 |
3,105 |
.0157 |
1990 |
176,572 |
3,550 |
.0201 |
1995 |
163,917 |
2,278 |
.0138 |
2000 |
155,974 |
1,448 |
.0092 |
2004
(Est.) |
149,000 |
1,325 |
.0088 |
- The number
of public grade crossings has steadily declined, with
lower numbers in each and every year since 1975. Currently,
there are about 32% fewer crossings than in 1975, indicating
that without any improvement in safety at public crossings,
there should be 32% fewer casualties from accidents
at those crossings.
- The number
of casualties has also declined since 1975, but at a
far greater rate (71%) than the 32% decline in crossings.
Thus, there has clearly been an improvement in safety
at public grade crossings.
- When the general
decline in the number of casualties is appropriately
related to the steadily decline in the number of crossings,
the result is a 58% decrease in casualties over the past
30 years.
Obviously, it
would be valuable to identify the cause(s) of the impressive
decline in the casualty rate at public crossings over the
past 30 years. A likely candidate for the leading cause
is the installation of automated gates (always equipped
with flashing lights), as such gates have been found by
both research studies and statistics published by the Federal
Railroad Administration, to be by far, the most effective
device at crossings for reducing accidents, deaths and
injuries. Furthermore, the decline in the number of public
crossings has already been accounted for in the 58% figure,
and there is no reliable way to measure the impact of motorist
education on the casualty rate.
As shown below, there have been over 25,000 new installations
of automated crossing gates – fueled by taxpayer money – over
the past 30 years. This has resulted in an increase in the
percentage of gated public crossings rising from 5.6% in
1975 to an estimated 25.4% in 2004 – equating to a
gain of 354%. Since the most dangerous and/or heavily-traveled
crossings are the ones that tend to receive gate installations
(on a priority basis), it appears that aside from closing
crossings and separating railroad track from roadways, the
installation of gates is the single most effective way
of saving lives and reducing injuries at public railroad
crossings. Further confirming this finding is
the fact that the casualty-rate-per-crossing for private
railroad crossings over the past 30 years, has increased;
these crossings do not receive publicly funded gate installations.
Year |
Number
of
Public
Crossings |
Number
of
Automated
Gates |
Percentage
of Gates
to Total |
1975 |
219,961 |
12,300 |
5.6% |
1980 |
215,428 |
16,291 |
7.6 |
1985 |
197,383 |
21,129 |
10.7 |
1990 |
175,572 |
26,194 |
14.8 |
1995 |
163,917 |
29,912 |
18.2 |
2000 |
155,974 |
34,296 |
22.0 |
2004
(Est.) |
149,000 |
37,900 |
25.4 |
The conclusion about the effectiveness of automated gates
is a vital lesson to those who desire to divert public
funds from gate installations to other uses. It is also
an important lesson to those who preach that education
is the key to improving safety at railroad grade crossings;
motorist education may be a worthwhile venture, but its
precise effectiveness is dubious. And it should be of extreme
value to those in Congress, public agencies, and elsewhere
that want to know how to reduce the carnage of our nation’s
intersections between railroad track and motorist roadways.
Any way one looks at the grade-crossing environment, it
is undeniable that automated gates have been effective
in providing increased safety at our nation’s railroad
grade crossings.
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